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日前， “鷹聲”陣陣之下，年內降息預期可能“落空”。美國股債受打壓。且有較高的“二次通脹”風險。 興業研究外匯高級研究員張峻滔表示，2年期美債收益率報4.966%，其他經濟指標也表明美國經濟有韌性，美聯儲官員密集放“鷹”，將對加息持開放態度。美國通脹回落麵臨不少阻力。與此同時，華爾街機構稱，亞特蘭大聯儲主席博斯蒂克在講話中表示，市場擔憂美債可能經曆新一輪拋壓。能源價格上升或將推動美國其他商品通脹。美國CPI數據已經連續3個月超出市場預期，在當前地緣政治因素推升能源價格的背景下 ，意味著美聯儲可能繼續“按兵不動”。考慮到地緣政治方麵的不確定性，10年期美債收益率可能重返5%。 但在北京時間4月19日，美聯儲快速降息的緊迫性和必要性下降 。分析人 |
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